Three weeks before the 2024 presidential election, a potential October surprise looms over a race that polls show is too close to call.

Presidential campaigns have been upended by last-minute news in the past.

As documented by Politico, the term “October surprise” first appeared in 1980 when Ronald Reagan’s campaign was concerned President Jimmy Carter would engineer the release of the 52 American hostages being held in Iran, giving Carter’s campaign a boost.

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